The Colorado State Rams (2–4, 1–1 MWC) return home to Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium to host the Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors (5–2, 2–1 MWC) in a high-stakes Mountain West showdown on Saturday night.
Kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET on the Mountain West Network, with tickets available via Vivid Seats.
Both teams enter fresh off dominant wins — Colorado State thrashed Fresno State 49–21, while Hawai‘i overpowered Utah State 44–26. The Rams look to even their record at home, while the Warriors seek to solidify their spot near the top of the conference standings.
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📺 Where to Watch Drake vs. Davidson Wildcats? (October 18)
| Detail | Info |
| Date | Saturday, October 18, 2025 |
| Time | 7:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. MT |
| Location | Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium — Fort Collins, CO |
| Broadcast | MW Network |
| Streaming | Fubo / ESPN+ |
| Tickets | Available on Vivid Seats |
💰 Betting Odds
| Type | Colorado State | Hawaii |
| Spread | -2.5 (-114) | +2.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
| Total (O/U) | 54.5 | |
| Implied Score | CSU 28 – HAW 26 |
Current as of October 18, 2025 – 8:45 a.m. ET.
🧾 Team Comparison (2025 Stats)
| Category | Colorado State | Hawaii |
| Record | 2–4 | 5–2 |
| Points For | 22.3 (104th) | 28.3 (73rd) |
| Points Against | 26.3 (83rd) | 23.9 (67th) |
| Total Offense | 344.3 YPG (103rd) | 394.1 YPG (69th) |
| Passing Yards | 185.5 YPG (106th) | 295.1 YPG (16th) |
| Rushing Yards | 158.8 YPG (68th) | 99.0 YPG (126th) |
| Total Defense | 405.5 YPG (111th) | 333.0 YPG (43rd) |
| 3rd Down Offense | 35.0% (109th) | 42.9% (46th) |
| Red Zone Efficiency | 80.0% | 96.0% (11th FBS) |
🐏 Colorado State Rams Breakdown
After a frustrating start, the Rams rediscovered balance last week, torching Fresno State for 334 yards and 49 points behind a season-best rushing effort.
Offensive snapshot:
Colorado State averages 344.3 total yards per game, but ranks just 106th in passing (185.5 YPG). Their offense leans heavily on the ground game, producing 158.8 rushing yards per contest.
Defensive snapshot:
The Rams’ defense has shown flashes but remains inconsistent — allowing 405.5 total yards per game and 26.3 points, ranking 111th and 83rd nationally. Their biggest issue: defending the run (179.3 YPG allowed).
Key Players
| Player | Pos | 2025 Stats |
| Jackson Brousseau | QB | 565 YDS, 65.1% COMP, 5 TD, 0 INT |
| Jalen Dupree | RB | 401 YDS, 2 TD, 5.3 YPC |
| Lloyd Avant | RB | 278 YDS, 3 TD, 5.7 YPC |
| Armani Winfield | WR | 231 YDS, 1 TD |
| Tommy Maher | WR | 176 YDS |
| Owen Long | LB | 68 TKL, 2 TFL, 1 SACK |
Trend to Watch:
Colorado State is 3–3 ATS, but 0–2 when favored this season. The Rams’ games average 50.0 points total, slightly below this matchup’s line of 54.5.
🌺 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Breakdown
The Warriors continue to ride their high-powered passing attack under QB Micah Alejado, ranking 16th nationally (295.1 YPG) through the air. Hawai‘i has eclipsed 40 points three times this season and looks to carry that momentum into Fort Collins.
Offensive snapshot:
Hawai‘i’s balanced attack posted 546 yards vs Utah State, including 133 rushing and 413 passing yards. Despite limited ground success, their red zone offense (96%) and third-down efficiency (42.9%) have been difference-makers.
Defensive snapshot:
Hawai‘i’s defense has quietly become one of the MWC’s most improved units — allowing just 333.0 yards per game (43rd FBS). They’re especially stingy against the pass, giving up under 200 YPG (47th FBS).
Key Players
| Player | Pos | 2025 Stats |
| Micah Alejado | QB | 1,456 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT, 65.1% |
| Landon Sims | RB | 323 RUSH YDS, 204 REC YDS, 3 TD |
| Pofele Ashlock | WR | 468 YDS, 6 TD |
| Jackson Harris | WR | 358 YDS, 3 TD |
| Jamih Otis | LB | 32 TKL, 2 TFL, 1 INT |
| De’jon Benton | DL | 16 TKL, 5 TFL, 3 SACK |
Trend to Watch:
Hawai‘i is 5–2 ATS, 2–1 as underdogs, and their last three games have averaged 52.2 points, slightly below this total (54.5).
📈 Betting Trends
| Category | Colorado State | Hawaii |
| ATS Record | 3–3 | 5–2 |
| As Favorite (≥2.5 pts) | 0–2 | 2–1 as Dog |
| O/U Record | 3–3 | 3–4 |
| Last 3 Games Avg. Points | 50.0 | 52.2 |
| Head-to-Head (Last 3) | CSU 1–2 | HAW 2–1 |
| Avg. Combined Score (H2H) | 58.6 |
🔑 Keys to the Game
- QB Efficiency – Alejado’s vertical accuracy vs. Brousseau’s control will dictate tempo.
- Run Defense Battle – CSU allows 179 YPG; Hawai‘i just 133. If the Rams can dominate on the ground, they’ll control possession.
- Turnovers – Colorado State protects the ball (6 TOs), while Hawai‘i has 13 giveaways — a key swing metric.
- Altitude Factor – The Warriors historically struggle at elevation; expect fatigue late in drives.
- Red Zone Clash – Hawai‘i ranks 11th nationally in RZ offense (96%), while CSU sits 93rd in RZ defense (88%).
💵 ClutchBuzz Prop Bets
| Prop | Pick | Reason |
| First Team to Score | Colorado State | Opened scoring in 4 of last 5 home games. |
| Pofele Ashlock Anytime TD | ✅ | Leads Hawai‘i in red-zone targets. |
| Colorado State Total Over 27.5 | ✅ | Balanced attack vs soft front. |
| Longest TD Over 44.5 yds | ✅ | Both QBs average 8+ YPA, secondaries give up big plays. |
💥 ClutchBuzz Same-Game Parlay
| Leg | Pick | Odds |
| Colorado State ML | ✅ | -135 |
| Under 54.5 | ✅ | -110 |
| Pofele Ashlock Anytime TD | ✅ | +160 |
| Combined Payout | +385 |
🏆 Final ClutchBuzz Colorado State vs. Hawaii Prediction
| Pick | Result |
| Spread | Colorado State -2.5 |
| Moneyline | Colorado State -135 |
| Total (O/U) | Under 54.5 |
| Final Score Prediction | Colorado State 30 – Hawai‘i 24 |
| Confidence | ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (4/5) |
The Rams’ home-field edge, strong rushing tandem, and disciplined ball control should prove decisive against a Hawai‘i squad traveling 3,300 miles and struggling to run between the tackles. Expect CSU to pound the ground, manage the clock, and survive a late push from Alejado’s air attack to secure their third win of the season.
