The North Texas Mean Green (6–1) bring their nation-leading offense to the East Coast for a Friday night clash with the struggling Charlotte 49ers (1–6) at Jerry Richardson Stadium.
North Texas enters this AAC matchup as heavy 26.5-point favorites, boasting the #1 scoring offense in college football (45.0 PPG). Charlotte, meanwhile, has been in freefall—averaging only 17.1 points per game and allowing almost 35 points per contest.
Will this be another scoreboard explosion for the Mean Green, or can Charlotte find some home-field magic?
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📺 Where to Watch North Texas vs. Charlotte? (October 24)
| Detail | Info |
| Date: | Friday, October 24, 2025 |
| Time: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| Venue: | Jerry Richardson Stadium (Charlotte, NC) |
| TV: | ESPN2 |
| Live Stream: | Fubo (Free Trial Available) |
💰 Betting Odds
| Market | Line |
| Spread | North Texas -26.5 |
| Moneyline | North Texas -4167 • Charlotte +1510 |
| Total (O/U) | 61.5 points |
Implied Score: North Texas 44 – Charlotte 18
Implied Win Probability: UNT 97.7% • Charlotte 6.2%
📊 Team Overview
| Team | Record | ATS | Points Scored | Points Allowed | Avg Yards |
| North Texas | 6–1 | 5–2 | 45.0 PPG (1st) | 25.7 (82nd) | 456.0 |
| Charlotte | 1–6 | 2–4–1 | 17.1 (127th) | 34.9 (124th) | 314.3 |
🔍 Game Breakdown
🌪️ North Texas Mean Green
The Mean Green are rolling — averaging over 45 points per game behind QB Drew Mestemaker, who has thrown for 1,850 yards, 17 touchdowns, and just three interceptions.
He’s got balance, too:
- RB Caleb Hawkins (489 yards, 7 TD, 6.5 YPC)
- RB Makenzie McGill (389 yards, 5 TD)
- WR Wyatt Young (26 receptions, 396 yards, 6 TD)
UNT’s offense ranks top-25 in both passing and rushing — and they’ve scored at least 45 points in four of their last five.
Defensively, North Texas is elite through the air, allowing just 152.6 passing yards per game (8th nationally). However, their run defense can be shaky (203.1 allowed per game).
Key Stat: UNT’s red-zone scoring rate (95.2%) ranks 16th in the FBS.
💚 Charlotte 49ers
Charlotte’s offense has been stuck in neutral. QB Conner Harrell has managed just 737 passing yards and four touchdowns, while the ground game has averaged a meager 107.1 rushing yards per game.
Top Playmakers:
- WR E. Jai Mason: 310 yards, 4 TD
- WR Javen Nicholas: 354 yards, 1 TD
Their defense is the bigger problem — allowing 216.6 rushing yards per game (134th) and 35 points per game. Against the nation’s top offense, that’s a nightmare scenario.
Key Stat: Charlotte ranks 131st nationally in red-zone defense, allowing points on 96% of opponent trips.
🧠 Betting Trends
| Trend | North Texas | Charlotte |
| ATS Record | 5–2 | 2–4–1 |
| O/U Record | 5–2 | 4–3 |
| Last 3 Games | 2–1 ATS | 0–3 SU |
| Avg Total Points (Last 3) | 66.8 | 49.8 |
| 1H Spread Record | 4–3 | 2–5 |
Trend Edge: UNT is 4–1 ATS in its last five road games; Charlotte has failed to cover six of its last eight overall.
🔑 Key Players to Watch
| Player | Team | Position | 2025 Stats |
| Drew Mestemaker | North Texas | QB | 1,850 yds • 17 TD • 3 INT |
| Caleb Hawkins | North Texas | RB | 489 yds • 7 TD • 6.5 YPC |
| Wyatt Young | North Texas | WR | 26 REC • 396 yds • 6 TD |
| Conner Harrell | Charlotte | QB | 737 yds • 4 TD • 2 INT |
| E. Jai Mason | Charlotte | WR | 310 yds • 4 TD |
| Reid Williford | Charlotte | LB | 44 Tackles • 2 Sacks |
💡 Prop Bets to Consider
| Prop | Pick | Reason |
| Drew Mestemaker Over 2.5 TD Passes | ✅ Over | Charlotte’s pass D ranks 70th — and gives up red-zone scores 96% of the time |
| Caleb Hawkins Over 89.5 Rush Yards | ✅ Over | 134th-ranked rush defense + game script |
| Wyatt Young Anytime TD | ✅ Yes | Leads team in red-zone targets |
| Charlotte Team Total Under 17.5 | ✅ Under | 49ers average just 17 PPG — facing top-10 pass D |
🧩 Same-Game Parlay (SGP) 💰
| Leg | Selection |
| ✅ North Texas -26.5 | |
| ✅ Under 61.5 | |
| ✅ Caleb Hawkins Anytime TD | |
| ✅ Wyatt Young Over 50 Receiving Yards | |
| Projected Odds: +600 |
(Alt SGP +350: UNT ML • Under 61.5 • Mestemaker 2+ Pass TDs)
🔮 ClutchBuzz North Texas vs. Charlotte Prediction
The Mean Green are firing on all cylinders — balanced offense, efficient quarterback play, and a defense that capitalizes on mistakes. Charlotte simply doesn’t have the firepower or protection to keep pace.
Expect a few early strikes from Mestemaker, a dominant run game to seal it, and a late defensive turnover to put the exclamation mark on another convincing win.
Final Score:
🟢 North Texas 48 – Charlotte 13
Best Bets:
✅ North Texas -26.5
✅ Under 61.5
✅ Wyatt Young Anytime TD
