Two Sun Belt foes meet in Mobile as the South Alabama Jaguars (1–5) host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2–4) at Hancock Whitney Stadium. South Alabama is trying to stop the slide after a 31–24 loss to Troy, while Arkansas State arrives with momentum from a 31–30 win over Texas State.
Expect a possession game: the Jags lean on a top-30 rushing attack, and the Red Wolves counter with an efficient QB who can extend plays.
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📺 Where to Watch South Alabama vs. Arkansas State? (October 14)
Detail | Information |
Game | Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars |
Date | Tuesday, October 14, 2025 |
Time | 7:30 PM ET |
Venue | Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, AL) |
TV | ESPN2 |
Stream | Fubo |
💰 Betting Odds
- Spread: South Alabama -7.5
- Moneyline: Jaguars -290 | Red Wolves +235
- Total: 59.5
Implied score: South Alabama 34 – Arkansas State 26
📊 Team Snapshot (2025)
Category | South Alabama | Arkansas State |
Record | 1–5 | 2–4 |
Points For / Against | 25.0 / 31.7 | 23.3 / 31.7 |
Total Offense (ypg) | 380.5 | 362.0 |
Pass Offense (ypg) | 178.0 (113th) | 243.0 (58th) |
Rush Offense (ypg) | 202.5 (29th) | 119.0 (109th) |
Pass Defense (ypg) | 169.2 (23rd) | 261.5 (125th) |
Rush Defense (ypg) | 201.8 (128th) | 212.8 (131st) |
3rd-Down O / D | 40.0% / — | — / 48.6% allowed (129th) |
Red Zone O / D | 77.3% / 100% allowed (133rd) | 78.3% / 81.0% |
Quick read: Jags own the trenches on offense; Red Wolves struggle to stop the run but bring the better air game.
🔍 Matchup Breakdown
Jags ground game vs. A-State front
South Alabama’s 202.5 rush ypg meets a Red Wolves defense allowing 212.8 rush ypg and 5.7 per carry. RB Kentrel Bullock (496 yds, 5 TD) plus PJ Martin give USA a clear path: downhill, shorten the game, and keep Jaylen Raynor on the sideline.
A-State passing game vs. Jags secondary
QB Jaylen Raynor (1,451 pass yds, 8 TD; 196 rush yds, 4 rush TD) is the Red Wolves’ engine, but he faces a top-25 pass defense (169.2 ypg). If protection holds, Chauncy Cobb (406 yds) and Corey Rucker (334 yds) can stress the perimeter—yet the lack of run balance invites pressure.
Leverage downs & red zone:
- A-State allows 48.6% on third down (129th), a big edge for USA’s run-heavy scripts.
- South Alabama’s defense has been leaky in the red zone (opponents 100%), keeping the door open for Wolves’ drives to cash.
🧑💻 Key Players
South Alabama
- QB Bishop Davenport: 1,063 yds, 9 TD, 4 INT; 187 rush yds, 3 TD
- RB Kentrel Bullock: 496 yds, 5 TD (4.6 YPC)
- WR Devin Voisin: 37 rec, 501 yds, 4 TD
Arkansas State
- QB Jaylen Raynor: 1,451 yds, 8 TD, 4 INT; 196 rush yds, 4 TD
- WR Chauncy Cobb: 34 rec, 406 yds
- WR Corey Rucker: 27 rec, 334 yds, TD
📈 Betting Trends
- ATS: South Alabama 2–4 | Arkansas State 3–3
- As ≥7.5 fav/dog: USA 0–2 ATS | A-State 2–1 ATS
- Totals: USA 4–2 to Over; A-State 2–4 to Over
- USA game average total: 53.7 (under this 59.5)
- A-State game average total: 59.7 (≈ this 59.5)
✅ Best Bets (ClutchBuzz Card)
- Arkansas State +7.5
- Numbers + matchup agree: USA’s path is run/clock control, which suppresses margins. A-State’s offense is good enough to trade 7s for USA’s 3s given the Jags’ red-zone issues.
- Under 59.5
- Expect sustained USA drives and fewer possessions. A-State’s scoring relies on chunk passes into a top-25 pass D.
- Player Prop (lean):
- Kentrel Bullock Over 85.5 rush yds — volume + matchup vs porous A-State front.
- 1H Total Under 30.5 (lean)
- Script favors early ground-and-pound, clock bleed, and field-position chess.
🧩 Same-Game Parlay (SGP) — Plus Money Build
- Arkansas State +10.5 (alt)
- Under 61.5 (alt)
- Bullock 70+ Rush Yds
Projected payout: ~+400
🏁 ClutchBuzz South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction
South Alabama 30, Arkansas State 25
- Jags control the ground game and squeak it out, but the Red Wolves cover +7.5. Pace and red-zone trades keep it Under 59.5.
Picks: Arkansas State +7.5 ✅ | Under 59.5 ✅ | USA ML (parlays only) ✅